Showing posts with label investments. Show all posts
Showing posts with label investments. Show all posts

Friday, May 19, 2023

Guest Author: Real estate vs Equity— Which will give better returns in the long term?

Stocks and real estate are the two most popular asset classes for long-term investments since they both assist in creating long-term returns to become financially prosperous. Although there are significant differences between these asset classes, it's important to remember that real estate can be an excellent alternative to stocks due to its lower risk, higher returns, and a reasonable level of diversification. However, stocks have been shown to outperform more traditional investments like bank fixed deposits while also providing enough liquidity to buy and sell shares at any time, something that real estate investments do not.

An Overview in Real Estate vs Equity

 

Your financial status, risk tolerance, and investment goals all influence your decision to invest in various asset types. Let's instead have a quick discussion of the two asset types.

 

Meaning: Investing in real estate is buying, renting, and selling land or constructed housing units to generate wealth through consistent price appreciation when the property's value rises and rent collection, which can offer a regular stream of income. Additionally, investing in stocks entails buying and selling shares of companies, which entails earning returns and additional perks like dividends, bonus shares, stock splits, buybacks, and capital gains.

 

Risk: Investments in stocks and real estate are both influenced by market and economic conditions. However, there are concerns associated with real estate investments, including a lack of liquidity, the market's unpredictability, location and unforeseen property health. However, stock market investments also have price fluctuation, global cues, economic and market situations, interest rate risk, and inflation. In the stock market, short-term trading entails higher volatility than long-term investments.

 

Liquidity: Stock market investments have better liquidity than other investments since buying or selling shares at any moment is simple, regardless of the market situation. Technical analysis of the stock's chart pattern or fundamental analysis of the company's earnings can be used to buy or sell stocks. Technical chart patterns may be used to trade on a short-term or intraday basis, but fundamental analysis provides the company's long-term perspective. Contrarily, real estate assets are less liquid; as a result, it is more difficult to convert them into cash when selling a home or piece of land since a suitable buyer must be found, and registration and market value must be verified, among other things.

 

Cost: One must consider all expenses spent while possessing a property, including brokerage, stamp duty and registration fees, interest paid on money borrowed, maintenance and repair expenses, and municipal taxes, when determining return on investment or actual return. In contrast, no fees are associated with investing in the stock market. Thus all that is necessary is a demat account and a low initial deposit, which may be as little as Rs 10.

 

Taxation: You will be required to pay capital gain tax on the profit made after taking inflation and the indexed acquisition cost into account when you decide to sell your property. These gains can be categorised as either short-term or long-term gains. It is considered a short-term capital gain if you sell your land, house, or other property within 36 months (3 years) of buying it, and the amount of tax payable will depend on your income tax bracket. However, if you sell it after three years, it will be regarded as a long-term capital gain and taxed at 20%, plus a 3% cess with the added indexation benefit. Suppose listed equity shares are held for less than 12 months at the selling time. In that case, the gains are short-term capital gains (STCG) and are taxed at 15%, while capital gains from equity shares held for more than 12 months are subject to long-term capital gains (LTCG), which are taxed at 10% after an exemption of up to Rs. 1 lakh on all long-term capital gains in a fiscal year.

 

Conclusion


Here is where we will discuss the returns of the two asset types mentioned above. When invested over the long term, stocks and real estate are both known to yield acceptable returns. The returns over the past ten years have ranged from 370%, 100%, 140%, 320%, and 180% if we compare the stock prices of top real estate developers. However, according to the data of Magicbricks, the Residential Real Estate Prices in Gurgaon have risen from Rs 8000 to Rs 9150 per sq ft, the price in Mumbai has risen from Rs 3800 to Rs 7000 per sq ft, the price in Bangalore has risen from Rs 2630 to Rs 4750 per sq ft, and price in Chennai risen from Rs 7850 to Rs 10,950, the residential demand in Pune climbed by 9.5%.  91% of Pune homebuyers looked for multistory residences. 2BHK flats had the most demand (46%), followed by 3BHK and above units (40%)., representing a surge of 14%, 84%, 80and 39%, respectively. These variations show how investments in real estate and the stock market performed in terms of returns over the past ten years, so one cannot anticipate exact returns from these asset classes over the long term. However, historically, real estate and stock market investments have been shown to have outperformed conventional investments like bank fixed deposits in terms of returns.

 


Authored by Gunjan Goel, Director,  Goel Ganga Developments

Tuesday, May 2, 2023

Detailed Financial Screening of various Sharia Boards

 Detailed Financial Screening of various Sharia Boards

  • S&P Islamic Index (Global)
    • Accounts Receivables / Market value of Equity (36 month average) < 49 %
    • (Cash + Interest Bearing Securities) / Market value of Equity (36 month average) <33%
    • (Non-permissible income other than interest income) / Revenue < 5%
    • Debt / Market Value of Equity (36month average) < 33 %

  • FTSE Islamic Index (Global)
    • Debt is less than 33.333% of total assets
    • Cash and interest bearing items are less than 33.333% of total assets
    • Accounts receivable and cash are less than 50% of total assets
    • Total interest and non-compliant activities income should not exceed 5% of total revenue.

  • Shariah Advisory Council (SAC) of the Securities & Exchange Commission in Malaysia (Malaysia)
    They follow a two-tier screening: tier 1 is on business, and tier 2 is accounting measures.

    Tier 1: 
    Business Activity Benchmarks
    • The contribution of Shariah non-compliant activities to the Group revenue and Group profit before taxation of the company will be computed and compared against the relevant business activity benchmarks as follows:

      (i) The five-per cent benchmark: The five-per cent benchmark is applicable to the following businesses/activities:
      • conventional banking and lending;
      • conventional insurance;
      • gambling; 
      • liquor and liquor-related activities; 
      • pork and pork-related activities; 
      • non-halal food and beverages;
      • Shariah non-compliant entertainment; 
      • tobacco and tobacco-related activities;
      • interest income from conventional accounts and instruments (including interest income awarded arising from a court judgement or arbitrator);
      • dividends from Shariah non-compliant investments; and
      • other activities deemed non-compliant according to Shariah principles as determined by the SAC.
    • For the above-mentioned businesses/activities, the contribution of Shariah non-compliant businesses/activities to the Group revenue or Group profit before taxation of the company must be less than five per cent.
(ii) The 20-per cent benchmark: The 20-per cent benchmark is applicable to the following businesses/activities:
  • share trading;
  • stockbroking business; 
  • rental received from Shariah non-compliant activities; and
  • other activities deemed non-compliant according to Shariah principles as determined by the SAC.
  • For the above-mentioned businesses/activities, the contribution of Shariah non-compliant businesses/activities to the Group revenue or Group profit before taxation of the company must be less than 20 per cent.
Tier 2: Financial Ratios
  • Financial Ratio Benchmarks: For the financial ratio benchmarks, the SAC takes into account the following financial ratios to measure riba and riba-based elements within a company’s statements of financial position:
    1. (Cash over total assets) <33%
      Cash only includes cash placed in conventional accounts and instruments, whereas cash placed in Islamic accounts and instruments is excluded from the calculation.
    2. (Debt over total assets) <33%
      Debt only includes interest-bearing debt, whereas Islamic financing or sukuk is excluded from the calculation.
  • In addition to the above two-tier quantitative criteria, the SAC also considers qualitative aspect, which involves public perception or image of the company’s activities from the perspective of Islamic teaching.
  • Accounting and Auditing Organization for Islamic Financial Institutions (Global)
    • The corporation does not state in its memorandum of association that one of its objectives is to deal with prohibited goods or materials as per Islamic principles. 
    • Total debt (long-term or short-term debt) is less than 30% of the market capitalisation
    • That the total amount of interest-taking deposits, whether short-, medium- or long-term, shall not exceed 30% of the short-, medium- or long-term, shall not exceed 30% of the market capitalisation of total equity. 
    • The income generated from the prohibited component does not exceed 5% of the total income. 
  • Tasis (India): Since their screening methodology is proprietary, it is not clearly established. By reading their paper, the idea is easy to follow. 
    • Total debt (long-term or short-term debt) should be less than 10% of total assets.* (Note: For Nifty Sharia Index, where Tasis is the advisor, Interest based-debt should be less than or equal to 25% of Total Assets.)
    • Interest income should be less than or equal to 3% of the total income.
    • Receivables plus cash and bank balances should be less than or equal to 90% of Total Assets.
*As per our understanding of their presentation. Earlier, their methodology was industry-specific; depending on the industry type, the debt level was adjusted  

Sunday, February 26, 2023

One Line Summary of Warren Buffet's Letter to Shareholders

 ChatGPT summarises the essence of Buffett’s Letter for each year.

  • 1977: In his first letter to shareholders, Buffett discusses the concept of "owner earnings" and highlights the importance of measuring a company's ability to generate cash over the long term.
  • 1978: Discusses the importance of reinvesting earnings into the business and avoiding excessive debt.
  • 1979: Buffett focuses on the challenges of investing in inflationary times and highlights the importance of owning productive assets that can increase in value alongside inflation.
  • 1980: The idea of "economic goodwill" is highlighted and how it contributes to a company's long-term success.
  • 1981: Buffett emphasises the importance of understanding a company's underlying business model before investing and cautions against relying too heavily on stock market predictions.
  • 1982: In this year, he discusses the benefits of long-term investing and cautions against making hasty investment decisions.
  • 1983: Buffett emphasises the importance of maintaining a long-term focus and avoiding short-term market fluctuations.
  • 1984: Buffett discusses the challenges of investing in an increasingly competitive market and highlights the importance of focusing on businesses with strong competitive advantages.
  • 1985: Buffett discusses the benefits of owning shares in companies with strong earnings growth potential and highlights the importance of diversification.
  • 1986: Buffett emphasises the importance of avoiding overpaying for stocks and highlights the potential benefits of investing in companies that are temporarily out of favor.
  • 1987: Buffett discusses the risks of investing in highly-leveraged companies and highlights the importance of avoiding excessive debt.
  • 1988: Buffett discusses the benefits of investing in businesses that require little additional capital to grow and highlights the importance of focusing on a company's underlying business fundamentals.
  • 1989: Buffett emphasises the importance of avoiding overconfidence and sticking to a long-term investment strategy.
  • 1990: Buffett discusses the risks of investing in highly-leveraged companies and highlights the importance of focusing on businesses with strong competitive advantages.
  • 1991: Buffett discusses the challenges of investing in a rapidly-changing economy and highlights the importance of adaptability.
  • 1992: Buffett discusses the importance of investing in businesses with strong economic moats and highlights the potential benefits of investing in undervalued stocks.
  • 1993: Buffett discusses the risks of investing in companies with complex business models and highlights the importance of simplicity.
  • 1994: Buffett emphasises the importance of maintaining a long-term investment strategy and avoiding short-term market fluctuations.
  • 1995: Buffett discusses the importance of solid brand-name businesses and highlights the potential benefits of investing in emerging markets.
  • 1996: Buffett discusses the challenges of investing in a rapidly changing technological landscape and highlights the importance of investing in businesses with strong competitive advantages.
  • 1997: Buffett discusses the importance of avoiding excessive risk and cautions against making hasty decisions.
  • 1998: Buffett emphasises the importance of investing in businesses with strong economic moats and highlights the potential benefits of investing in international markets.
  • 1999: Buffett discusses the risks of investing in companies with overinflated stock prices and highlights the importance of maintaining a long-term investment horizon.
  • 2000: Buffett discusses the challenges of investing in a rapidly changing technological landscape and cautions against relying too heavily on stock market predictions.
  • 2001: Buffett emphasises the importance of investing in businesses with strong competitive advantages and highlights the potential benefits of investing in undervalued stocks.
  • 2002: Buffett discusses the benefits of investing in businesses with strong economic moats and highlights the potential risks of investing in highly leveraged companies.
  • 2003: Buffett discusses the importance of maintaining a long-term investment horizon and avoiding emphasises market fluctuations.
  • 2004: Buffett emphasises the importance of avoiding excessive fees and costs and highlights the benefits of investing in companies with strong earnings growth potential.
  • 2005: Buffett discusses the challenges of investing in a market with high valuations and highlights the importance of focusing on a company's business fundamentals.
  • 2006: Buffett emphasizes the importance of investing in businesses with strong economic moats and highlights the potential benefits of investing in emerging markets.
  • 2007: Buffett discusses the risks of investing in companies with excessive debt and highlights the benefits of investing in businesses with strong earnings growth potential.
  • 2008: Buffett discusses the global financial crisis and highlights the importance of avoiding excessive risk in investing.
  • 2009: Buffett discusses the importance of maintaining a long-term investment horizon and emphasises short-term market fluctuations.
  • 2010: Buffett emphasizes the importance of investing in businesses with strong economic moats and highlights the potential benefits of investing in undervalued stocks.
  • 2011: substantial discusses the importance of investing in businesses with strong competitive advantages and highlights the potential risks of investing in rapidly changing technological landscapes.
  • 2012: Buffett discusses the risks of investing in companies with complex financial structures and highlights the benefits of investing in businesses with simple, understandable business models.
  • 2013: Buffett emphasises the importance of maintaining a long-term investment horizon and avoiding short-term market fluctuations.
  • 2014: Buffett discusses the potential risks of investing in businesses with high debt substantial and highlights the importance of investing in businesses with strong competitive advantages.
  • 2015: Buffett discusses the importance of investing in businesses with strong economic moats and highlights the potential benefits of investing in emerging markets.
  • 2016: Buffett emphasises the importance of avoiding excessive fees and highlights the potential benefits of investing in businesses with strong earnings growth potential.
  • 2017: Buffett discusses the potential risks of investing in rapidly changing technological landscapes and highlights the importance of investing in businesses with substantial competitive advantages.
  • 2018: Buffett emphasises the importance of maintaining a long-term investment horizon and avoiding short-term market fluctuations.
  • 2019: Buffett discusses the importance of investing in businesses with strong economic moats and highlights the potential benefits of investing in undervalued stocks.
  • 2020 emphasises discusses the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the global economy and emphasizes the importance of maintaining a long-term investment horizon.
  • 2021: Buffett discusses the performance of Berkshire Hathaway's investments during the pandemic and emphasises the importance of investing in businesses with substantial competitive advantages.


Monday, April 18, 2022

Understanding ETFs

First thing first, what is an index? 

In simple terms, an index is a record that can be used for navigating and understanding the key information in a set of records. For a book, an index is a list of keywords with page numbers to find information associated with that word. 

In the world of investing it is a combination of stocks that are looked together to decide on how the market, sector, theme or idea is doing. Therefore, it functions as an indicator, since it is showing the impact of the underlying. 

What is an ETF?

Now if someone decides to make an instrument from this index to invest in and make it available on the stock exchange then that instrument will be called Exchange Traded Funds. 

It is a fairly simple product that just tracks an indicator. Therefore, by investing in an exchange-traded fund, you're efficiently investing in the underlying index. Your returns will also be near to that indicator.

For example, in case you have invested in a Sensex or even a Nifty Exchange-traded fund, you'd get comparable returns as people from all of these indices. A look at available exchange-traded fund options in India reveals that there are 26 ETFs monitoring the Sensex or Nifty indices.

You might ask, what is the distinction between them? If all of them track the same index, should not you pick one randomly? Well, not really, since there are differences among the ETFs that track the same index.

Here are the different parameters you should bear in mind while choosing an ETF.

Underlying indicator: An Exchange-traded fund tracks an index, so first choose which index you want to put money into. Sensex and Nifty include large-cap stocks. Therefore, by investing in ETFs that track them you are investing in massive caps. There are ETFs monitoring small and medium caps as well. Then there are those who follow international indices. 

Ease of replicability: Large-cap indices constitute the majority of liquid stocks and therefore it is easy for the finance manager to imitate them. On the flip side, ETFs monitoring mid and small caps must fight more difficulty to replicate their inherent, given that these segments have a tendency to be liquid.

Liquidity: While buying an ETF, it's very important to ensure you can purchase and sell its components with ease. Therefore, it's very important to choose an exchange-traded fund that trades with a pretty large trading volume. This is comparable to investing in liquid or illiquid stocks. A liquid inventory gives you the ease of selling and buying. However, with illiquid stock, your order can remain unexecuted for quite a long time.

What would be an underlying challenge to the ETF?

Brokerage costs and illiquidity can be a great problem for any ETF. 

If your broker has a high cost for buying and selling the ETF then it can increase your transaction costs. Thus, it could create a challenge for investors. 

Should we invest in ETF?

Only if the individual understands the risk and the kind of opportunity that the product allows. For Indian investors, an index fund is a superior option from a liquidity perspective, as there are regulations on mandates in terms of dilution of portfolio and meeting the redemption requests. Those who are still confident of their prowess may choose it. 

Saturday, September 12, 2020

The multi-cap fund fiasco

SEBI is a market regulator. And hence, setting the broader policy is important and correct but micro-management tends to reflect a loss of confidence.

The recent order telling AMC's on how to position their multi-cap funds leads to some pertinent questions and warrants some reflective suggestions.

Questions:

1. Why do the index S&P BSE 500 and Nifty 500 have 80% weight in large-cap stocks, if these are supposed to be Multi-cap Index. 

2. So which is the one equity fund category where the fund manager can buy irrespective of market cap restriction? (A multi-cap fund that has fund manager’s discretion). 

3. Why not launch a new category with this criterion rather than making changes to an existing segment?

4. Who will bear the loss that is likely to happen in this category due to their action? The valuation in mid-cap and small-cap will become insane and speculation in this market has historically been punished. Or the other way of putting it is that these categories tend to make more money with more volatility.

5. Has SEBI's mandate moved from investor protection, in general, to ensure that some investors make money and perhaps everyone loses eventually?

Instead is it not feasible that the the regulator should also seek input/discuss with respective ministries and other fellow regulators to implement the suggestions, as follows, which might potentially have far-reaching benefit for both the market and investors.

Suggestions that are under SEBI’s control:

1. Change market cap definition to global standards, wherever it is dynamic (rather than the current hard numbers since it is mentioned in percentage terms) and it needs to be updated every month.

2. Ensure the main index is not based only on market cap. And that there are stricter caps, stock wise and sector-wise, even an index. This one measure will make the markets more sanguine as momentum stocks would not become an avalanche distorting the market.

3. Constitute study groups to understand the impact of majority investing moving into passive space. (Analysis by independent experts in the USA shows that it increases volatility. Hypothetically, I reckon, it should show high volatility in stocks and higher polarisation)

4. Study the Canadian & Australian stock exchange and their venture exchange to bring balance between compliance cost and capital raising via capital markets. Some element of originality will be required here because our legal structure and governance standards are not favourable to investors. Additionally, our system has a high backlog of cases.

5. Fast track cases at SEBI’s end and penalise wrongdoers heavily. Ensure that the effort is to be just for all parties. A task that may seem hard, but with proper training, it is possible to deliver at scale.

Suggestions that require co-ordination perhaps from the Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Corporate Affairs and RBI.

1. Dividend should be made tax free. People who get dividend will either spend or invest them, both of which support the economy. So, why double tax them? Let the power of circulation of money work. Transaction charges are already levied and now we even have the additional stamp duty. So why not, let the investors gain the tax advantage.

2. CIBIL score of businesses should be available in the public domain for a small cost. And if there are any remarks by any lenders, it should also be made available to investors. This is required, per se, on basis of the same logic that bankers get CIBIL score for people borrowing from a bank. So why shouldn't the investors have similar access, since they are lending for potentially higher risks?

3. Force companies to have a separate chairman and Managing Director. Power corrupts, and absolute power corrupts absolutely - this is a famous maxim that holds substantial weightage, so the logical premise is to reduce the power of the individual in order to maintain balance.

4. All listed companies should have a minimum public holding of 45%. It shall bring in greater transparency and also improve the liquidity ratio.

5. Companies that are listed in India should have lower taxes compared to private companies wherever their size allows them to be eligible for being listed since listed companies allow the public the advantage to earn additional wealth.

6. Long term capital gains tax for equity, debt and real estate should be the same and they should all be calculated for a holding period of 3 years.


Some of these suggestions will take time to show results. And some shall be difficult to implement because of the requirement of various inter-departmental working/approval sanctions. However, in order to help small investors and improve the economic standard in the country, eventually, these measures will have to be incorporated.


Author -- Anonymous 

Wednesday, July 10, 2019